Saturday, October 19, 2019

So Not All External Affections Are Created Equal, Eh?

As Prime Minister Khadga Prasad Oli appears tangibly and temperamentally re-energized by the visit of Chinese President Xi Jinping, the fraternity of former prime ministers in his Nepal Communist Party (NCP) is acting out in different ways.
NCP co-chair, Pushpa Kamal Dahal, has started becoming malleable in all directions, suggesting that politics might take any turn. While Jhal Nath Khanal has been circumspect in his appraisal of the Chinese President’s visit and its implications, Madhav Kumar Nepal is ostensibly overcome with a fresh burst of patriotism.
If Dahal felt snubbed during the Xi sojourn – as is being suggested from some quarters, including those close to him – the NCP co-chair’s comments in the aftermath certainly make it look so. One moment, Dahal yearns for an alliance with the Nepali Congress, even to the point of dismissing his party’s massive legislative majority. The next, Dahal wants to launch another rebellion, almost oblivious to how low his stock has plummeted on that floor.
After that kindergarten brawl with Oli a couple of months ago during what was supposed to have been a warm send-off to the prime minister to his hospital in Singapore, Madhav Nepal has sought spiritedly to partner with Dahal in hopes of polishing his prime ministerial prospects. With Dahal mired in his own morbidity, though, Madhav Nepal has found a refuge that tends to be associated more with, well, scoundrels.
Following Xi’s departure, Madhav Nepal, as the head of the Department of Foreign Affairs of the NCP, exulted that Nepal proved its caliber to host the head of the state of one of the most powerful countries of the world. The Chinese President’s visit had helped enable an environment conducive to investment and augmented international attention and concern toward the country, the NCP senior leader added.
Merely days after issuing that formal NCP review, Madhav Nepal warned – not too cryptically –against the abundance of affection that might flow from our northern neighbor. He didn’t have such qualms about the surfeit of India’s love in 2005-2006, perhaps because he probably still believes the 12 Point Agreement was among the finest examples of positive foreign intervention.
Indeed, Madhav Nepal was among the most prominent people who described the 1990 Constitution as one of the best in the world, until, of course, it wasn’t. Surely, he had a vested interest there, considering that he was among the principal drafters. By that standard, we can safely assume that the ex-premier hasn’t seen enough to change his mind on the extent and impact of India’s tenderness coinciding People’s Movement II. (And let’s not broach the issue of ‘vested interests’ on this count.)
Balancing the interests of all major nations with our own national interests is a key challenge, Madhav Nepal said the other day. Nepal should maintain relations with neighboring countries ensuring the principles of independence, dignity and non-interference.
No nitpicking with such noble sentiments. Still, that shouldn’t stop you from asking why Madhav Nepal thought it fit to offer such erudition only after Xi’s visit? Can’t just be tit-for-tat for Xi’s emotive – and even excruciating – enumeration of the qualities of a good communist, could it?

Sunday, October 13, 2019

Xi Said, We Said

Cutting through the customary platitudes communicated by both sides, Chinese President Xi Jinping’s two-day state visit to Nepal has been eventful in some novel ways.
Capacity, cordiality, connectivity, containment, and commitment stood out as some of the catchwords during public pronouncements, ostensibly broadening the scope and content of the bilateral discourse. Beijing’s aspirations in and expectations from Kathmandu found suave and discreet expressions in Xi’s public engagements. More substantive issues must have come up during private discussions, including ones both sides wished to keep secret.
What was most remarkable was the robust and candid discussions surrounding Nepal-China ties at the broader public level. Smashing the staid parameters of China being a vital counterweight to India’s traditional vexing preponderance, Nepal’s relations with its northern neighbor were finally being discussed on their own merits.
The Nepal Communist Party (NCP)-led government initially seemed tempted to portray Xi’s visit – the first by a Chinese President to Nepal in nearly two dozen years – as an ideological vindication of its existence, as if its massive popular mandate were not enough.
However, the government and the ruling party wisely acknowledged the imperative of shunning such parochialism in the interest of advancing Nepal-China relations at the broadest possible level. Technically a member of the ruling coalition, Baburam Bhattarai adroitly kept urging Prime Minister Khadga Prasad Oli’s government not to go overboard, as Nepal still needed to maintain strong and friendly relations with India and the United States. (One wonders whether he might have also been speaking from his own experience as prime minister in early 2012 when he hosted then Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao).
Leading an increasingly vocal constituency, the opposition Nepali Congress consistently counseled careful deliberation before embarking on new projects, particularly under the Belt and Road Initiative, lest the country lurches headlong toward the quagmire of eternal indebtedness. It would be easy to fault the main opposition party for inopportunely espousing third-party talking points, but that would not diminish the validity of the underlying argument, especially amid its pronounced global expression.
On the Chinese railway to Nepal – that unmistakable emblem of the promise as well as the practicability of bilateral ties – the joint statement said a feasibility study would be commissioned. That’s not quite a snub to the Oli government, as the prime minister and his key cohorts ceased hyping the imminence of the project after Chinese Ambassador Hou Yanqi issued her not-so-subtle public admonition a few months ago.
To be sure, the train from China has embodied the notion of breaking the Himalayan barrier through technological prowess ever since Chairman Mao Zedong brought up the idea as distant promise in a meeting with King Birendra in Beijing in the early 1970s (in exchange for Kathmandu immediately acting against CIA-trained-and-backed Tibetan insurgents based in Mustang, one might add.)
That Beijing eventually developed the capability to bring that train to the rugged terrain of Tibet did not necessarily mean the tracks would cross the border immediately.  It took a while for Nepalis to recognize that technical, commercial and strategic viability takes on a different meaning altogether for the Chinese – or anyone else, for that matter – when we are talking about another country. That we have done so should bode well for us and ultimately our relations with China.

Friday, October 04, 2019

Scrappy Strands Of A Shameful Story

This is not a defense of former Speaker Krishna Bahadur Mahara. Nor is it an attempt to divert attention from the despicable crime he has been accused of. It is an effort to see whether there is more to the story than meets the eye.
A man who has maintained a public record of probity and propriety is accused of raping a women employee of the parliament secretariat who is a former foot soldier of the Maoist rebellion. The Nepal Communist Party – almost erasing factional fault-lines – demands Mahara’s scalp.
Mahara drags his feet, but to little avail. He must go – and does. By then, in a bizarre twist, the accuser recants her story, now even portraying the guilty as a guardian. The accuser’s marital life is destroyed while Mahara’s professional one is undoubtedly in tatters. How the case has impacted the ex-speaker's family is largely a private affair. The legal process has been activated and must take its course, nevertheless.
That’s that, is it? It shouldn’t be. There must be more to the story.
Why the alacrity to do away with Mahara? The allegations around this time nine years ago over the leaked audiotape in which Mahara was heard soliciting money from a Chinese operative to buy legislators ostensibly to form a new government was far more damaging to the country – even treasonous, perhaps. But the Maoists circled the wagon and induced the wider political fraternity to do the same. Mahara went on to assume greater political responsibilities.
Is this time different because of – to borrow the lexicon of the American liberal/left – the seriousness of the allegation? Or is it because the accused the head of the supreme legislature? Or both -- and much more?
Maybe a government under fire for its growing anarchic tendencies needed a public relations elixir. Prime Minister Khadga Prasad Oli and his ruling Nepal Communist Party (NCP) co-chair Pushpa Kamal Dahal ‘Prachanda’ must know that the questions lingering from the Mahara affair are too stark to let the government claim much credit – even if Mahara turns out to be guilty as accused.
Maybe Mahara’s speakership is the reason, but from another angle. He has long been the public face of the Maoists, having led the first peace talks with the state. Mahara dominated the international media when ‘Prachanda’ was a shadowy creature. Since the Maoists entered mainstream politics, Mahara served in eight of the dozen or so governments.
Soft-spoken and well-informed, he seems to have enjoyed the trust of the Indians, Chinese, Americans and other stakeholders. Sure, his private life – like that of most public figures – was the subject of tawdry talk. Through discretion and deliberation, he remained secure where others stumbled. During party fissures and fusions alike, he studiously avoided rocking the boat. During many raucous sessions of parliament, Mahara could easily have lost his cool. His meticulous yet equally mundane – conduct alienated both sides of the aisle.
Now, let’s suppose that our political order is on the cusp of convulsion – as most of us have been saying. No matter how precipitously the hammer was to fall, there is little doubt that the multiparty system would suffer. Republicanism, secularism and federalism are the issues in contention.
In such a scenario, the speaker would likely retain his role, a la Tara Nath Ranabhat in a different context and era. Did someone rock that boat? Or, put in another way, what if the boat got rocked while Mahara thought he was conducting business as usual after hours? Just asking.